Are Amur and Redfooted Falcons kestrels?

The Amur Falcon (Falco amurensis) and Redfooted Falcon (Falco vespertinus) breed in eastern Asia and eastern Europe respectively.  Both species are called Falcons but they show interesting similarities to kestrels and the Redfooted Falcon is locally called the "Blue Kestrel" in its breeding grounds.

Similarities between the Lesser Kestrel and the Redfooted Falcons
The DNA evidence
Prof Dr Michael Wink has performed DNA analysis of most of the raptors in the world.  DNA analysis is typically analyzed using statistical techniques to provide trees showing how the species are related to each other.  These analyses show that both the Amur Falcon and Redfooted Falcon are situated at the base of the tree to the hierofalcons (desert falcons) and peregrines and are classifed closer to the hobbies and merlins than the kestrels. However, the exact position of the Redfooted Falcons does depend on the statistical analysis method used. For instance, if the Maximum Parsimony method is used, the Redfooted Falcons group much closer to the "Hobby" than in the tree below.
Due to the difference in placing of the Redfooted Falcons on the tree based on the different statistical methods, as well as the similarities listed above. a possible case can be made the the Redfooted Falcons should be grouped with the kestrels rather than the hobbies.  While they do share behaviour with the Hobbies as well such as catching insects on the wing, the similarities with the Lesser Kestrel are more convincing.  Redfooted falcons could be argued to look more like the grey kestrels than the Eleanora's Falcon or Hobby.

Figure: Molecular phylogeny of the falcons and kestrels reconstructed with the Maximum Likelyhood method.

Falcon DNA Maximum Likelyhood method




References
Wink, M. DNA analysis. In Chancellor, R.D & Meyburg, B.-U. eds. 2000. Raptors at Risk. WWGBP/Hancock House Pg 136-140.